4 Big Risks Face U.S. Investors In 'Challenging' 2019

Mark Kolakowski | October 26, 2018

4 Big Risks Face U.S. Investors In 'Challenging' 2019
Investors have been rattled by major market pullbacks this year and are looking nervously towards 2019. They might pay close attention to the concerns voiced below by Christophe Barraud, the Paris-based chief economist and strategist at global broker-dealer firm Market Securities. Bloomberg has ranked him as the most accurate forecaster of the U.S. economy for every year from 2012 onwards, of the European Union (EU) economy from 2015 onwards, and of the Chinese economy in 2017, per Business Insider. The table below summarizes his biggest concerns for 2019, which he sees as being a "very challenging" time with a great deal of uncertainty. Barraud's biggest worries centre around international trade, and how the expanding tariff war is likely to reduce worldwide economic growth. "Expectations for global trade growth are a bit optimistic for this year and next," he said, per Business Insider, adding, "most economists aren't taking into account the impact of tariffs." He also warned: "we think that Trump could launch a new wave of tariffs on the auto sector. It will have a negative impact more on the global economy, but to a certain extent to the U.S. economy."

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